MCA put up a 62-year-old candidate in Jelapang the last general election.
Should MCA renominate Loo Koi Pin, they would have a representative running for office at the age of 66. In the event – most unlikely though – that he wins, Mr Loo would be more than 70 years old by the end of the GE13 term, God granting.
Blue and red voters
Dr Chua Soi Lek in his press statement on Thursday said:
“While Hee [Yit Foong] can announce that she is the candidate for Jelapang in the coming general election, without the support from the MCA division and especially the grassroots members, it is unlikely that she will win.”
The Star‘s updated report on Friday is more adamant in tone – ‘No deal on Hee’s candidacy for Jelapang seat, says Chua’
Since Dr Chua brings up the subject of the Chinese grassroots, let’s have a look at the GE12 data.
The table below shows the state seats contested by the MCA. The ones bolded in blue were won by MCA and the ones in red by DAP.
MCA only managed to defend its seats in the rural and semi-rural areas. The urban areas, especially where MCA was up against Chinese candidates, fell all to the DAP except in Johor.
MCA won in the following seats:
(1) in Titi Tinggi beating PKR’s Keria bin Senawi and independent Mohamad Razi Mustaffa, (2) in Indera Kayangan beating PKR’s Doziyah Hamzah
(3) in Gurun beating PKR’s Kalaivanan a/l Balasundram
(4) in Bandar beating PKR’s Manaf Che Mat
(5) in Chenderiang beating PKR’s Arjunan a/l Muthu
(6) in Ceka beating PKR’s Ishak Saad, (7) in Damak beating PKR’s Mohd Nor Jaafar, (8) Semambu, (9) Teruntum, (10) Mentakab, (11) Bilut
(12) in Kuala Kubu Baru beating PKR’s Annamalai Ramu a/l Kandasamy, (13) in Sungai Pelek beating DAP’s Sivananthan a/l Arumugani
(15) Machap, (16) Kelebang, (17) Duyong, (18) Bemban
(19) Jementah, (20) Bekok, (21) Tangkak, (22) Yong Peng, (23) in Parit Yaani beating PAS’s Hashim Jusoh, (24) Penggaram, (25) in Johor Jaya beating PRM’s Mohd Nasir Abdul Wahab, (26) Stulang, (27) in Pengkalan Rinting beating PAS’s Rahmatullah Abdul Wahab, (28) in Pulai Sebatang beating PAS’s Shamsudin Jaafar, (29) in Pekan Nanas beating DAP’s Ahmad Ton
From the profile above of the 30 state seats held by MCA, it can be seen that half were won by MCA through its defeat of Malay and Indian candidates.
This pattern is striking along the West Coast where MCA was almost wiped out. The party lost every single seat it contested in Penang, lost 9 out of 10 seats it contested in Negri Sembilan, and lost 15 out of 16 seats it contested in Perak.
MCA contested 14 seats in Selangor, and lost 12. The three state seats remaining in MCA hands – one in Perak and two in Selangor – were all snatched from the jaws of Indians. (Inference: The Chinese voters preferred the MCA Chinese over the PKR/DAP Indian candidate)
The national landscape
The first table below shows the share of state seats held by the various parties — DAP has 85 and MCA has 30.
The second table shows the number of votes obtained nationwide by the various parties. DAP won 1,118,025 ballots giving the party 28+1 Parliament seats (Sibu was later won in a by-election) while MCA got 840,489 giving it 15 Parliament seats.
The weightage given rural wards coupled with gerrymandering serve to favour Umno disproportionately. With 30.2 percent of the total votes, Umno snagged 79 seats in GE12. Comparatively, with 14.2 percent of the total votes, DAP obtained 28 seats.
DAP’s total votes obtained are roughly half that of Umno’s.
If we hypothetically double DAP’s 28 seats, we only get the figure of 56 seats which falls short of Umno’s 79. Or to work the math the other way around, if we halve the number of Umno seats, the Malay party has 40, which for the same number of votes gave DAP 28 seats.
The way the system is rigged allows Umno to wield a much stronger political clout than is warranted by the ground support the Malay party actually receives.
Nonetheless, it is possible for the race politics to be subverted as happened in the recent American presidential election.
Prior to 2008, the Chinese would not have voted Umno and the Malays would not have voted DAP. But there has since been a paradigm shift.
For the DAP-led Pakatan coalition to prevail, it needs to split the Malay votes as Obama successfully did the majority white votes. The incumbent got 4 out of 10 white votes while his opponent Mitt Romney got 6 out of 10. Obama however got 9-and-1/2 out of every 10 black votes.
Blacks comprise 13.1 percent of the population in the United States whereas Chinese comprise 24.6 percent of the population in Malaysia. Translating the Obama strategy to the Malaysian scenario, the opposition should split the Malay votes 50-50 between Umno and PAS-PKR while DAP goes for a solid 90 percent of the Chinese votes and a high percentage of the Christian votes.
Thus far, Pakatan has clearly taken a leaf from the Obama campaign of peddling ‘Hope’ and ‘Change’ in their almost identical ‘Dream Merchant’ sloganeering and sales pitch.
DAP and MCA comparative standing
In Jelapang, the MCA guy received less than 30 percent of the votes. Of this number, it is safe to assume that Loo Koi Pin got a generous portion of the Malay votes and some of the Indian.
Sentiment-wise in GE13, nothing will move the Jelapang electorate, three quarters of whom are Chinese. Not even if Mr Loo were to go as far as promising to donate his kidney to a needy constituent.
Against this backdrop, let us examine Chua Soi Lek’s “no deal” (according to The Star headline) with regard to the Jelapang seat traditionally allocated to MCA.
Only just recently, guests at the MCA function in Muar displayed an uncharacteristic Chinese rudeness when – after tucking into their free meal provided by the party – they staged a walkout immediately upon Dr Chua commencing his dinner speech.
The Chinese public don’t care to give MCA any face these days albeit when they were caught in the Genneva gold investment of no returns, they nevertheless still turned to the MCA public services department for help.
In contrast to the blatant disrespect shown to Dr Chua at the MCA mega dinner, Lim Guan Eng is welcomed with loud applause and standing ovation when he makes his ‘popstar’ grand entrance at DAP dinners. The hall full of supporters jostle to crowd around him. Their enthusiasm is so great that he needs to be protected by a human chain of bodyguards.
It has reached this level of idolatry because Guan Eng and his evangelical icons have assiduously wrapped a personality cult aura about themselves. Si Gunting dalam Lipatan happily helps to cultivate the adulation too. (Read here, here and here).
BN is so “low class”
Maruah Melayu mesti dijaga
Dr Chua’s clarification on the Jelapang seat has been read by most of the English language media as being dismissive of Hee Yit Foong.
The MCA president risks ditepuk air di dulang, terpercik muka Umno by failing to appreciate that Hee is sheltering under the umbrella of the Malay polity.
Air muka Hee patut dijaga Umno kerana selaku Timbalan Speaker Dewan Perundangan, beliau memegang tauliah yang diberikan sebuah kerajaan majoriti Melayu. She presides over a Dewan that is occupied by 27 Umno Aduns and the two BN-friendly Malay representatives in Changkat Jering and Behrang.
By virtue of the lofty position she holds in the state legislature, her maruah is tied to Umno’s maruah as the ruling party in Perak. Furthermore, Hee today carries a Datuk title bestowed by the Raja Melayu of the state.
Umno cannot be seen to be throwing away Hee like a used tampon after she is perceived to have outlived her utility. It will send the wrong message to the remaining 20 percent of the Chinese who are not pro-DAP or pro-Pakatan.
If Umno were to discard Hee, then the signal is that BN (in essense Umno) is willing to throw to the wolves Chinese still loyal to the dacing brand or those who have shifted allegiances to BN like Hee.
While the MCA is not expected to fare well in the seats where it will stand, Umno nonetheless still needs to salvage whatever Chinese votes it can in the mixed seats — for example, Hishamuddin Hussein’s parliamentary constituency of Sembrong in Johor has 31 percent Chinese voters (down from 36% in 2008).
DAP are streetfighters
Recall the Briggs plan to wean Chinese villagers away from communist influence during the Emergency.
The treatment of Hee by DAP and their DAPster followers is like that meted out by Bintang Tiga. Hee Yit Foong has been relentlessly bayoneted, or in today’s DAP 2.0 parlance, nailed to the cross.
Dr Chua in his reaction on this matter ought not succumb to the contemptuous current of Chinese populism that has crucified Hee as BN’s “running dog”.
More than the sum of its parts
Dr Chua’s non-committal response appears to indicate that he’s not grasped the role that Hee Yit Foong is capable of playing in furtherance of the BN cause.
BN will not be putting her up to win the Jelapang seat which already has the opposition’s name on it, in any case.
It is however to BN’s advantage to provide her a platform where she can be seen and heard by a national television audience.
It is necessary to expose Hee Yit Foong via the national broadcast media as well as pro-establishment print media — TV3, Berita Harian, Utusan – because the MCA media machinery is already compromised and cannot be relied upon and the other BN components do not own any Chinese media.
(The Star reported fawningly on Hannah Yeoh’s Chinese New Year angpow packets which had a Bible verse printed on it without questioning its appropriateness. Or see preceding post – ‘Oh yawn, hudud again? So yesterday, lah — The Star‘ )
BN would be wise to trot Hee in front of the TV cameras. Let her cry while telling her story. The target audience is not Chinese. It is the rest of Malaysians who must be made aware of how Guan Eng and his coterie behave.
The Umno Perak state assemblymen can be also roped in to lend her some positive testimonials as Hee enjoys a cordial working relationship with them. You can consider her a potential Lee Lam Thye.
A DAP insider for 20 odd years, Hee is familiar with the inner workings and intrigues within the party. She can tell us all about the Ngeh-Nga overlordship and how the party has ‘Ubah’ – changed – to become evangelical and fascistic.
As one example of the Christian tide, the ongoing Dream Machine ‘Ubah’ Roadshow featured the evangelist Yeo Bee Yin (a Hannah Yeoh clone) as one of its speakers alongside Tony Pua, Karpal’s son Gobind Singh Deo, DAP Kg Tunku Adun Lau Weng San, Kashturi Patto (daughter of a DAP stalwart) and PKR wonderboy Rafizi Ramli.
Yeo Bee Yin only joined the party on 27 Aug 2012 — a mere two and a half months ago. The evangelicals are given a rocket boost in their supersonic rise up DAP 2.0. Apart from her appointment as DAP’s cyber media stretegist, Yeo is also Special Assistant to Tony Pua.
The New DAP is all Guan Eng’s men (and Christian women).
Puak-puak kurang ajar
In the photo below, Guan Eng’s left shoe is stepping on Hee’s head. It is clear who sets the kurang ajar example which Chinese youth then imitate.
The DAP robust streetfighter mode ensures a survival of the fittest.
MCA is not fit enough to take on DAP. (Even Tun Daim once commented that Koh Tsu Koon needed to be less of a gentleman and more of a streetfighter to take on the DAP in Penang.)
In fact, MCA is asking for extinction. Its own newspaper The Star had no qualms in tweeting that the party is populated by “too many old dinosaurs” and “intellectually flabby”. (Dinosaur brain the size of a walnut — read here.)
The BN game plan
When Hee Yit Foong goes on the stump, we cannot rule out that she might be assaulted one way or another by the DAP supporters.
Thus BN should not only endorse Hee’s candidacy in Jelapang but also provide her campaign all the logistical support necessary — bodyguards, driver, convoy, and several aide de camp (ADCs) to polish her Malay and English elocution. In the footsteps of Guan Eng, assign a personal cameraman/videographer as well to accompany her at all times.
If the DAPsters verbally or physically abuse her, then the episode caught on film of a petite woman who walks with a limp being mercilessly harassed should be widely and repeatedly aired on primetime television. These images would invoke sympathy among the fence-sitters.
MCA has been an abject failure the last five years in rehabilitating its own battered standing. Even DAP’s Malay language portal is miles ahead of MCA’s Chinese-English website in terms of Internet traffic, according to the latest Alexa ranking. It’s not easy to treat the MCA claim of having a 1.3 million membership without a pinch of salt.
There’s nothing left to lose
MCA has not been able to put up a fight against the DAP juggernaut. It cannot even compel the media it owns to divert from the pro-Pakatan political direction that the paper has adopted.
Everyone knows the ineffectual MCA has no chance of winning Jelapang. In the 2004 general election, Hee Yit Foong defeated Datuk Dr Mah Hang Soon, who’s supposedly better qualified on paper with his being a cardiologist.
Given the MCA’s pathetic track record in Jelapang, the least it can do is make itself useful to BN by allowing Hee Yit Foong to ride on their party ticket. If she wants to take on DAP, Umno should let her do so! By all means.
There have been too many bola tanggung which the MCA and their media have ignored. Chua Jr was left to bat on his own in the Talamgate expose with The Star reluctant to contribute any back-up stories.
There has been very little critical coverage of DAP in the paper to date.
In short, MCA has done nothing to dispel Hasan Ali’s conspiracy theory that the party machinery has defected to the DAP. For instance, DAP election strategist Ong Kian Ming used to work for the MCA think-tank Insap (Institute of Strategic Analysis and Policy Research).
Hee will assuredly make a better job of countering the DAP propaganda than those MCA “dinosaurs” (Kian Ming’s description) who have permitted their so-called media machinery to heap humiliation after humiliation on Dr Chua. There is no worse indignity than being consigned to irrelevance. The Star didn’t even think Dr Chua’s roadshow was worth covering.
BN need to be proactive and to get their election campaign in gear without waiting for MCA which has not been pulling its weight at all. The Star headline “No Deal” on Hee’s Jelapang bid is yet another example of the MCA inertia and intransigence.
Remember, the battle is no longer between MCA and DAP. It is now between DAP and Umno, mano–a–mano.