Daftar pemilih Pandan menunjukkan kerusi Parlimen yang disandang mantan presiden MCA itu mempunyai 64,497 orang pengundi ketika PRU12.
Pecahan mengikut kaum di Parlimen Pandan (2008) ialah:
- Melayu (49.3 peratus)
- Cina (45.0 peratus)
- India (5.2 peratus)
- Lain-lain (0.5 peratus)
Ong Tee Keat yang tatkala itu naib presiden MCA meraih 25,236 undi menewaskan Syed Shahrir Syed Mohamud (PKR), iaitu bekas presiden kesatuan sekerja MTUC yang mendapat 22,275 undi.
Majoriti sebanyak 2,961 undi yang diperolehi Tee Keat dalam tahun 2008 telah menyusut dengan mendadak daripada majoriti 14,112 undi yang memberikannya kemenangan selesa dalam tahun 2004. Bermakna Tee Keat turut dilanda gelombang tsunami meskipun beliau tidak hanyut.
Namun ada seperkara menarik tentang keputusan pilihanraya Pandan di mana beliau satu-satu sahaja calon Parlimen MCA yang tidak berjaya ditumbangkan pembangkang di Selangor.
Undi ikut kaum
Sementara Ong Tee Keat sebagai calon BN boleh menang di peringkat Parlimen, calon-calon BN di peringkat DUN telah tewas.
Kawasan Parlimen Pandan merangkumi dua buah DUN iaitu Chempaka dan Teratai.
Di Chempaka, Nosimah Hashim (11,480 undi) tewas kepada Iskandar Abdul Samad (12,528 undi). Di Teratai, Lum Weng Keong (7,478 undi) tewas kepada Jenice Lee (15,563 undi).
Apabila Melayu PAS lawan Melayu Umno di kawasan yang mempunyai 33,525 orang pemilih, calon PAS menang. Apabila Cina DAP lawan Cina Gerakan di kawasan yang mempunyai 30,972 orang pemilih, calon DAP menang. Kesimpulannya songsang, yakni BN menang Parlimen, ‘Pakatan’ pula menang DUN.
Mereka yang mengundi Tee Keat tidak menyokong calon Parlimen Melayu PKR.
Perbezaan majoriti di antara garis kemenangan calon Melayu PAS dan calon Cina DAP di kedua-dua DUN tersebut harus diteliti juga.
Gejala ‘split voting’
PAS menang dengan majoriti undi 1,048 manakala DAP menang dengan 8,085. Apalagi Jenice Lee (DAP) mendapat dua kali lebih banyak undi daripada Datuk Lum wakil parti Gerakan itu.
Intipatinya, pemilih memberikan 25,236 undi kepada BN di peringat Parlimen (Pandan) berbanding sejumlah 18,958 undi bagi BN di peringat DUN (Chempaka + Teratai).
Penjelasan paling logik ialah seramai 6,278 orang pemilih – yang kebanyakannya Cina – rela memberi undi mereka kepada Ong Tee Keat tetapi tidak sanggup menyokong Umno di DUN Chempaka yang mempunyai 35.5 peratus (11,900 orang) pemilih Cina.
Peratus yang membuang mengundi di Pandan ialah 74.9%, Chempaka 72.8% dan Teratai 76.6%.
Prestasi MCA di peringkat Parlimen
Jadual I: MCA menang
Jadual II: DAP menang
Dikemaskini: 12.38pm
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Salah Siapa BN Hilang Undi Cina
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Kita tidak seharusnya terkejut dengan kemerosotan undi Cina untuk BN di P94 Hulu Selangor.
Sungguh pun ada yang mengatakan kemerosotan ini kerana orang Cina mahu mengukuhkan kuasa DAP di Selangor namun apa yang berlaku sebenarnya lanjutan kepada pola pemilihan kaum tersebut bagi PRU12 lalu.
Secara umumnya pengundi Cina di Semenanjung bagai bersepakat tidak akan memberikan kuasa kepada Melayu dengan mengambil pendirian usah undi BN melainkan calon BN tersebut merupakan calon Cina yang berdepan dengan calon bukan Cina.
Inilah sebabnya mengapa di DUN Kuala Kubu Bharu kita lihat calon BN dari MCA berjaya menewaskan calon DAP berbangsa India dalam PRU12 lalu tetapi di dalam PRK P94 pula undi Cina bagi BN jatuh mendadak berkeputusan calon BN berbangsa India perolehi undi yang kurang berbanding calon PKR berbangsa Melayu.
Pola ini amat ketara apabila 2 calon Melayu DAP gagal mendapat sokongan Cina setelah tewas kepada calon-calon Cina BN.
Di P80 RAUB Abu Bakar Bin Lebai Sudin (DAP) dikalahkan Oei Yang Yang @ Ng Yen Yen (BN) sementara di P165 TANJUNG PIAI pula Ahmad Bin Ton (DAP) tewas kepada Wee Jeck Seng (BN). Ahmad Bin Ton juga bertanding di N55 Pekan Nenas menentang Tang Nai Soon (BN). [Nota pengarang: Ahmad Ton kalah kepada Tang Nai Soon].
Di samping 4 keputusan di atas, 8 lagi kemenangan calon Cina BN di peringkat Parlimen di Semenanjung adalah ke atas calon bukan Cina seperti berikut :
P54 GERIK: Tan Lian Hoe (BN) menewaskan Mohd Noor Abdul Rahman (PAS)
P74 LUMUT: Kong Cho Ha (BN) tewaskan Suwardi bin Sapuan (PKR)
P77 TANJUNG MALIM: Ong Ka Chuan (BN) tewaskan Mohd Azman Marjohan (PKR)
P89 BENTONG: Liow Tiong Lai (BN) menewaskan Ponusamy AL Govindasamy (PKR)
P100 PANDAN: Ong Tee Keat (BN) tewaskan Syed Shahir (PKR)
P148 AYER HITAM: Wee Ka Siong (BN) tewaskan Husin Bin Sujak (PAS)
P151 SIMPANG RENGGAM: Liang Teck Meng (BN) tewaskan Atan Bin Gombang (PAS)
P158 TEBRAU: Ling Ban San (BN) tewaskan Roslani Sharif (PAS)
P162 GELANG PATAH: Tan Ah Eng (BN) tewaskan Zaliha Binti Mustafa (PKR)
Hanya empat kerusi parlimen sahaja menyaksikan calon Cina (BN) tewas kepada Bukan Cina.
P52 Bayan Baru: Ooi Siew Kim (BN) tewas kpd Zahrain Mohd Hashim (PKR)
P83 Kuantan: Fu Ah Kiow (BN) kalah kpd Fuziah Binti Salleh (PKR)
P124 Bandar Tun Razak: Tan Chai Ho (BN) tewas kpd Abd Khalid Bin Ibrahim (PKR)
P128 Seremban: Yu Chok Tow (BN) kalah kpd John A/L Fernandez (DAP)
Namun keputusan PRU12 di dua buah DUN di dalam Parlimen P100 Pandan di mana calon BN berbangsa Cina menang mengukuhkan lagi telahan terhadap pola undi Cina ini bila kedua-dua calon BN tewas kepada lawan. Di N21 CEMPAKA Nosimah Binti Hashim (BN) tewas kepada Iskandar Bin Abdul Samad (PAS) sementara di N22 TERATAI Lee Ying Ha (DAP) menang ke atas Lum Weng Keong (BN).
Kita tidak terkejut jika pola ini hasil daripada permainan sentimen perkauman anti Melayu DAP sepertimana slogan mereka ketika PRU12 “Setiap Undi Bagi MCA adalah Undi Bagi UMNO”.
Pasti ini juga mendorong pengundi Cina untuk tidak mengundi calon Cina BN bila lawannya juga Cina. Kalau tidak macamana lagi boleh kita terangkan keputusan P104 KELANA JAYA di mana Lee Hwa Beng (BN) tewas kepada Gwo Burne Loh (PKR).
Ramai khususnya penyokong PR mendabik dada mengatakan keputusan PRU12 menampakan pengundi kini sudah matang boleh mengundi melampaui batasan ras dan mengutamakan mutu calon.
Namun melihat bagaimana susah bagi calon Cina BN untuk kalah kepada lawan bukan Cina khususnya Melayu kita tidak dapat lari daripada merasakan yang PRU12 merupakan yang paling rasis khususnya sentimen anti Melayu.
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Posting di atas oleh Amri Yunos disalin-tampal dari analisa yang dibuatnya pada 28 April 2010.
Sumber: http://amriyunos.blogspot.com/2010/04/salah-siapa-bn-hilang-undi-cina.html
Berkaitan:
Helen Ang 
this may be off topic, and you may choose to ignore what I m going to say. if BN win the GE13 with between 123 to 135 seats as stated by Michael Yeoh, but with MCA. MIC, Gerakan and those other Chinese based component parties in Sabah and Sarawak decimated, and UMNO invite PAS and the Malays of PKR to come on board to set up a Malay unity government, okay maybe not a Malay unity government, but a Bumiputera unity government, are the Chinese going to accuse the Bumiputera, not just UMNO Malays, but the PKR Malays, the PAS Muslims and Taib’s team of racism and religious extremism ? I mean, the DAP can play that card if the Malay/Bumiputera parties are not united because UMNO is clearly the punching bag here, but can they continue to play this card once the Malay/Bumiputera are all on board the same ship ? this is what concerns me the most post GE13.
Ditto, my thoughts as well.
This is not about race. Its about electing the next government. Try and get that into your small head helen,
Election and electing the next govt is about choices, dumbskull!!!. Factors that influence your choices includes, among other things, race, religion as well as policies and direction of the winning candidate/party…..
Not a surprise for me. I always maintained that behind all their Bangsa Malaysia and meritocracy talk, the real message and attractiveness of DAP is being anti-Malay and anti-Islam. They stand for all that is anti-Malay and anti-Islam.
Let’s analyze the issue. Why do a number of Chinese choose DAP over MCA when they know that there is no way that DAP can get the NEP and Malay special positions eliminated especially when they are in an alliance with PAS, the local branch of the Talebans.
Why do Chinese reject MCA? Because MCA is subservient to UMNO ? But isn’t DAP is in the same position as MCA as proven in the case of Kedah?
If you listen to all the talk by Dapsters in the social media, they tend to accuse BN of being corrupted, etc. But they will be willing to justify any corruption by PR. If you read closer and talk to them more, you will realise that underneath of it all, the real reason why they reject BN is because they hate the Malays/Bumis. All the talk about corruption is just smokescreen.
In this data, you can clearly see that. They will vote for BN’s Chinese candidate as long as the opponent is not a Chinese from DAP.
Agreed with you on that……it has been the trend, unfortunately. Just a gentle reminder/note….UMNO does give safe Malay majority seats to components of the Alliance/BN….so that other races can be represented and voices heard in Parliament
cs,
What are the corruption committed by PR? Lets us compare the incidence of corruption/abuse made by PR states and BN states since March 2008. Eg. Selangor PR and Sarawak BN. Otherwise, we can choose a state and compare the difference between PR government and BN. For example, Selangor under PR in 2008 – 2013 and Selangor under BN in 2004 – 2008.
ben,
Obviously you had been reading on MK, MI and PR publications exclusively. There are rampant corruption in PR states. Just that it does not get published. In Selangor even DAP members have exposed the corruption of their leaders and the case of sand mining has been widely reported. I don’t think Selangor was corruption-free but neither is Selangor under Pakatan. If you want to know more dirt, wait till PR loses Selangor in GE13. When the new govt takes over, more corruption by PR will surface.
Calvin,
“siap kau Tan chai Hoe”. That was quite a number of Malay Muslim congregation told me before the last election. Tan Chai Hoe, a BN MP was defending Bandar tun Razak against Khalid ibrahim.
I asked them why they said them. Apparently they were agitated when they passed Jln Maharajalela when a Chinese assembly hall kept reminding the world about the number of days a Chinese school being relocated. Or in short, the assembly hall was reminding the world how “cruel” a malay dominated government is.
What many Chinese do not realise is that the goodwill on the Malay side is surely depleting. The truth is that vast majority (IF NOT ALL) believe that in general Chinese(no offense) behaves like “yahudi”. Meaning the only thing that matters are their interests. Other races concern are not material to them.
They especially DAP hates UMNO as it represents Malay controlling the politics. To them, Malaysia is only in good hand if they rule everything.
Short of saying it, Malays actually give up on genuine partnerships with chinese. They see Chinese as “yahudi”.
While many Malays believe UMNO is the best they have so far(as compared to PAS or PKR), they are not happy with Najib’s perceived over reaching to Chinese. They have a valid point. Why gives importance to a race that generally known to be ungrateful or simply refuses to acknowledge sincerity of a Malay led government.
Malays in general see Chinese as resisting to Najib in order to extract as much concession as they could. Therefore, they are willing to be “silent” when DAP plays racial issues and then blame UMNO. As silence is construed as agreeing to whatever rubbish said by DAP, Malays in general feel that Chinese by agreeing to nonsense from DAP are themselves as racist as DAP.
By saying that, I am not absolving useless politicians among Malays like Anwar, or moronic behaviour of Mohd sabu.
My concern is that Chinese are led by DAP into a straight collision course with the Malays.
not sure about the anti-Malay bit, but from my naive observation, I suspect the majority of the Malaysian chinese look highly on themselves; like some sort of warped delusion of grandeur. It is fuelled even further by the following statements
Hence, in their minds and according to the survival of the fittest, they see themselves as at the top of the food chain and baffled, why their demands are not met yet assistance given to others who they see as ‘a waste of the world’s oxygen’.
Moreover, when there’s Malay/Indian Vs Chinese candidates, sense of connections, language, familiarity determines who’ll be the one that they will vote for.
Business wise, it’s a good strategy as the person elected will share same belief, aspiration and background – at the back of their mind, another chinese would definitely help one another.. as for MCA Vs DAP candidates, they will see who are more vocal in presenting their demands.. like Jenice and her promise to help the vernacular school in the area but end up, the residents being screwed over.
Malaysian chinese, though a minority in numbers but a majority economy-wise assumes that they’re the kingmakers. DAP serenading them with the victim card tune for being oppressed Malaysian, not getting assistance or priviledges add more to their animosity towards the other races.
When you look carefully, they’re similar to the Occupy Wall Street demonstators, they have a sense of being entitled for all perks, benefits sans any terms & conditions.
This Beyond Race is BS .. They want equality because they know should the NEP or any other policies on bumi removed, they’re the perfect specimens to reap it all.
Slowly creeping towards reality…eh AJ? Yeah…easy does it…..ahem ahem
Analisa yang amat baik. Sentimen undi berasaskan kaum sebenarnya juga ada dikalangan pengundi Melayu, cuma mungkin ianya tidak sedalam dan sekuat jika dibanding pengundi Cina.
Just look at Bersih 2. The Chinese got a shock of their lives when the promised peaceful demo turned ugly.
They for safety reasons refuse to participate in Himpunan Jutaan Rakyat.
Some may have realise that peace and security is more important thus may chose BN this time.
Agrees with catdog.
…kalau pengundi Melayu, bersentimenkan perkara yang sama, rasanya, ramai wakil-wakil Cina/India dari MCA, Gerakan, DAP dan PKR yang tewas…
kalau undi untuk Islam sahaja, lagi bagus – akan wujud kerajaan melayu-islam….
jadinya, bolehkah??? orang-orang Cina mahu terima kah kalau fenomena ini berlaku???
pasti akhirnya dilabel rasis….
Jadi betul la klau dah ada kempen “Undi PAS (Lembu) bererti Undi DAP (Cina)” atau “Bukan PAS (Lembu) ganti UMNO (Ayam) tapi DAP (Cina) ganti PAS (Lembu)”.
Most of us Malays that are neutral and ready to accept others as their own brothers had to frustratingly resort to racism, either directly or indirectly, due to the fact that these Ultra-Kiasu Racist keep demonizing and belittling our race, religion and culture. Don’t be surprise later when pushed too far, we’ll say “Oh racist eh, ye aku memang racist, so what? Pegi mati sama lu!”
I love my Chinese friends, but when it comes to reading the comments in Pro-DAP portals, it really makes my blood “go upstairs”..if you know what i mean.
Meaning the thought process goes like this:
I voted based on party, not based on the candidate. But unfortunately Latok Tan Chai Ho lost to Khalid in Bdr Tun Razak constituency. It’s a huge mistake for those who voted Khalid since he’s hardly ever around in Bdr Tun Razak as he’s busy screwing up Selangor.
We are looking forward to kick out Khalid in the next GE, should he decide to contest again in Bdr Tun Razak.
Hey… you know… this Khalid fella is doing a better job than that crooked Toyo fella. Remember how Toyo n his men ran the shredders overnight when they found out they lost the state? : )
Sorry bro… when I consider re-electing BN for Selangor, my mind brings me to the night when they tried to cover up for their misdeeds.
Yakini BN? More like Yuck Ini BN
Or could it be that OTK is an MCA strongman and also incumbent in Pandan, which is a MCA fortress?
It would not surprise me if PAS and UMNO form a unity government. It would not surprise me if attempts are made to reach out to the DAP to satisfy Chinese participation in said unity government and this causes a split within the DAP.
While before the Chinese electorate or a sizeable majority favored engagement over hostility, it would seem that the choice now is the destruction of UMNO, no doubt encouraged by the gains made in 08′
The perceived Chinese sentiment of disliking Malay “rule” is mirrored in the UMNO stance of criticizing government institutions means questioning Malay sovereignty.
“Namun melihat bagaimana susah bagi calon Cina BN untuk kalah kepada lawan bukan Cina khususnya Melayu kita tidak dapat lari daripada merasakan yang PRU12 merupakan yang paling rasis khususnya sentimen anti Melayu.”
Unfortunately, this simplistic conclusion fails to take into account MCA and Gerakan people like Chng Tong Eng and Koh Tsu Koon were defeated by non Chinese candidates, just to state a few examples.
Secondly, a lot of the MCA candidates that won are strongmen with the advantage of incumbency, funding, fame, and supporters to back them.
Unfortunately Koh Tsu Koon is a standalone example due to strong public sentiments.
And secondly Penang is an outlier state. Historically it is one of two Straits Settlements/British crown colony whereas there are four Federated Malay States and five Unfederated Malay States in the peninsula.
Penang is the only state out of 14 currently to have a Chinese CM.
And Penang people … (I shall leave it unsaid). So the voting pattern of Penangites will buck the rest of the country’s lah.
So how would you explain the loss of say, Chng Toh Eng to Charles Santiago in Klang, plus the results in Teluk Intan and Ipoh Barat, just to cite several examples? In which voters rejected a candidate of the same ethnicity for another of different ethnicity?
Will get back to you on this.
Do Malaysians vote according to race?
Here’s an entry in the LKS blog quoting data obtained from Parliament Q&A, http://blog.limkitsiang.com/2008/05/05/2007-malaysian-population-2717-million/
It says Indians make up 7.5 percent of the population.
You specify 3 Parliament seats. Remember that there is no Parliament seat anywhere in Malaysia that has an Indian-majority electorate.
You say that DAP Indians won in Ipoh Barat, Teluk Intan and Klang.
Ipoh Barat has 22.9% Indian voters
Teluk Intan has 20.0% Indian voters
Klang has 18.6% Indian voters
In all of those three seats, the Indians were more than double and in Ipoh Barat close to triple the national average of 7.5 percent of the population.
Also in 2008, there was the Hindraf factor which swung the Indian votes massively.
If Malaysians voted colour blind, a Malay candidate could have won in all of the three seats. How come neither BN nor Pakatan put up a Malay candidate there?
We’ll look closer at Klang.
The Klang Parliamentary constituency won by DAP’s Charles Santiago comprises 3 state seats of Port Klang, Pandamaran and Kota Alam Shah.
All the DUNs were swept by the opposition, respectively Badrul Hisham Abdullah (PKR at that time, now independent), Ronnie Liu and Manoharan (the Hindraf ISA detainee).
Let’s work out the Klang numbers.
Voter turnout in Klang was 76.2%. Klang had a voter base of 77,816 electors. Using this 76.2% uniform figure across ethnicity, we can project that those who turned up to vote on 8 March 2008 comprised:
26,029 Malays
36,628 Chinese
14,458 Indians
I’ll use the following percentages of opposition support to work out Charles Santiago’s votes.
This set of figures below is the national trend. I don’t have Selangor-specific breakdown. It was estimated that the opposition (Pakatan, and again not DAP-specific) got
64% Chinese support
52% Indian support
42% Malay support
Using the percentages above, Charles Santiago should have gotten
23,442 Chinese votes
7,518 Indian votes
10,932 Malay votes
Added up, it would have given Charles Santiago a total of 41,892 votes.
However, in reality he got less 4,000 than anticipated. He received only 37,990 votes. So which opposition supporter didn’t vote for Charles when going by the national averages he should have?
I’ve used the national figure of 52% Indian support for the opposition in 2008 to calculate support for Charles. But I think in Klang, it would have been higher than 52% because Mano the Hindraf ISA guy won his DUN – which has a lot of Indians (23.3%) very comfortably.
The Umno DUN candidate was unpopular as she is the daughter-in-law of Zakaria Deros, who became infamous for building his castle (remember the scandal?)
So I’d reckon that the Malay support for Charles would not only match the national average of 42% percent pro-opposition but in Klang it would have been even higher due to the local factor of the Zakaria Palace being a byword for corruption.
Therefore, Charles would likely have gotten higher than national average votes in Klang from the Indians and the Malays. Yet his total votes were lower than the national average of support for the opposition.
I repeat: If Charles had received 64% Chinese-52% Indian-42% Malay support, he would have obtained 41,892 votes. But he only got 37,990 votes.
Going on the assumption that Charles was more popular with the Indian voters in Klang than the national average due to Mano his Adun’s Hindraf factor,
and that Charles was more popular with the Malay voters in Klang than the national average due to the Zakaria’s Palace factor which was a big turn-off,
then the opposition supporters, who should have voted for Charles but did not, would have been the Chinese.
And it’s a major difference. Charles was some 4,000 votes short than he should have received according to the national averages and this figure hasn’t even taken into account that more Indian and Malay votes for Charles means that he got far less Chinese votes than the national average of 64%.
My original thesis with the voting patterns in Pandan and Bentong indicated that the Chinese voters in both constituencies gave their votes to the MCA man at Parliament level even though at DUN level, all the opposition candidates had won.
And I had conjectured that MCA had won in Pandan and Bentong because the opponents were Malay and Indian respectively.
The theory you quoted from Amri Yunos’s blog analysis said that the Chinese were the most racialist voters. Not true, meh?