Continues from ‘Why BN got its ass kicked in Lumut by navy man‘.
Thanks for the heads up, Calvin. The split voting results are interesting indeed. Pro-establishment Malays are definitely boycotting the MCA.
BELOW: ‘MCA can deliver’? What a joke, hahaha!
Najib should just give up the MCA ghost.
In GE13, Lumut was fought by MCA’s “Donkey Kong” (nickname given him by J-Star reporters) vs PKR’s Abdul Hamid.
Lumut Parliament seat (map below) covers the DUN seats of Sitiawan, Pasir Panjang and Pangkor.
From GE10 to GE12, Lumut was held by MCA.
GE13 results: Discrepancy between support in Parliament and in the DUN
Sitiawan – won by Pakatan
- Ngeh Koo Ham (DAP) – 17,292 votes
- Ting Tai Fook (MCA) – 5,472 votes
Strong showing by PAS
Pasir Panjang – won by BN
- Rashidi Ibrahim (Umno) – 15,153 votes
Rohawati Abidin (PAS) – 14,849 votes
Pangkor – won by BN
- Zambry Abdul Kadir (Umno) – 12,291 votes
- Saifullah Zulkifli (PKR) – 7,167 votes
At state level in the three DUNs:
– BN got a total of (5,472 + 15,153 + 12,291) = 32,916 votes
– Pakatan got a total of (17,292 + 14,849 + 7,167) = 39,308 votes
The DUN results are that BN-Umno won two state seats and Pakatan-DAP one with regard to the three state assembly seats under the Lumut Parliament constituency.
At Parliament level however, the Pakatan Malay candidate obtained 40,308 votes to the BN Chinese candidate’s 32,140 votes.
Interpretation of results
DUN (3 state seats)
PKR’s retired First Admiral Imran obtained 1,000 votes more than his three Pakatan state counterparts (DAP-PKR-PAS) combined.
What this means is that these 1,000 voters were willing to vote the opposition for Parliament but at the same time withheld their support for Pakatan at state level.
The one thousand dissenting voters are likely to be the Malays in Sitiawan who were unwilling to vote DAP for the DUN but didn’t mind supporting a PKR Malay at federal level.
Malay BN voters rejected MCA
The same trend is also shown in reverse although not as markedly. MCA’s Parliament candidate collected 776 votes less than his three counterparts (MCA-Umno-Umno) combined.
What this means is that 776 voters who had been prepared to support BN at state level were not prepared to support BN for Parliament. These are likely the Malay voters in Pasir Panjang and Pangkor who voted Umno for state but refused to vote the MCA man for federal and chose PKR’s Mohd Imran instead.
The data also showed that PAS is stronger than PKR among the Malay community.
This trend of split voting where the number of votes for state and federal levels do not tally will be more pronounced in GE14. Pro-establishment Malays are definitely boycotting the MCA.
A slightly shorter version of this comment originally @ 2014/08/25 at 10:55 am