Results analysis: Super SUPP did what MCA would not
It was heartwarming to see SUPP president Dr Sim Kui Hian being hoisted by supporters after his victory in Batu Kawah yesterday. The uplifting moment felt as good as when Gerakan president Mah Siew Keong won the Teluk Intan by-election in 2014.
For too long, we Chinese BN supporters have been pummeled, trampled and spat upon due to the abject failure that is the MCA. This BN senior-most Chinese party is reminiscent of the Walking Dead (bangkai hidup).
Better that MCA just die. Die already, will ya! Rather than live on your knees grovelling at the feet of the Dapsters, and licking the arse of evangelistas.
Thankfully SUPP and UPP put up a fight and managed to rollback the DAP’s inexorable advance. (Far from putting up a fight against the BN’s nemesis, MCA is instead colluding with the opposition behind BN’s back.)
Big Brother Umno must realise that even if only a very small minority (call them Sparta’s 300) of Chinese is willing to stand up and confront them, the DAP evangelical juggernaut can be halted.
The MCA, however, is clearly not able or willing to carry out the task.
Size does not matter. MCA is supposedly big – claiming to have one million members (snort! Aku tak ‘caya) – but useless in the battlefield.
SUPP is merely a state party (not a national one like the MCA) but at least it is showing some gumption against the DAP pandemic. Dr Sim’s exceptional performance in the Sarawak election, for example, went off the ‘charts’ — explained below.
x – percentage of Chinese registered voters in each seat
y – percentage of votes won by the opposition (14 DAP, 1 PKR)
‘Cina taksub giler’- DAP equation
The line in the graph above shows the close correlation between the ratio of Sarawak Chinese voters and the electoral performance of the Chinese opposition in the state’s 11th general election on May 7.
It’s become a formula that the more Chinese voters there are in a constituency, the stronger the support for DAP candidates. This is indicated by the crosses that are close to either side of the line in the graph above.
In Sarawak’s election yesterday, a few ‘giantkillers’ defied expectations.
The duo who broke the ‘Cina taksub giler’- DAP line (see scatter plot above) are the SUPP candidates represented by crosses marked in red circle, i.e. Batu Kawah and Repok.
On the other side of the coin, two DAP candidates who outperformed their party peers by getting sokongan Cina tahap gaban are the former YB Meradong and the new YB Tanjong Batu. See crosses marked in red circle.
These four crosses – Batu Kawah, Repok, Meradong and Tanjong Batu – fall a bit away from the otherwise fairly decent slope of 0.67.
Listed below are 15 Chinese-majority seats in the Sarawak DUN. The first column figures refer to the percentage of Chinese voters. The second column figures refer to percentage of votes received by the DAP candidate.
Padungan 93, 63.9
Pelawan 91, 58.3
Pending 90, 62.6
Bukit Assek 89, 60.3
Batu Lintang 87, 61.6
Repok 74, 45.4 ← won by SUPP
Kota Sentosa 73, 58.2
Tanjong Batu 72, 59.1 ← won by DAP
Pujut 68, 52.6
Batu Kawah 60, 36.5 ← won by SUPP president
Piasau 59, 42.2
Batu Kitang 59, 38.3
Meradong 54, 43.8 ← lost by DAP incumbent
Dudong 53, 36.1
Bawang Assan 53, 33.4
• Repok — DAP’s 30-year-old single lady Yong Siew Wei fared badly against the SUPP businessman Datuk here. In the 2011 previous election, Repok was won by DAP sexagenarain Dr Wong Hua Seh.
• Batu Kawah — DAP’s 32-year-old pregnant (and miscarried) candidate Christina Chiew underperformed tremendously against SUPP’s professor cardiac surgeon Dr Sim Kui Hian. Ms Chiew only managed to obtain a poor 36.5% voter support.
Just visited Christina Chiew at Normah Medical Centre, Kuching. Consoled her for her miscarriage as result of Bukit Kawah election campaign.—
Lim Kit Siang (@limkitsiang) May 07, 2016
• Meradong — DAP incumbent Ting Tze Fui lost but nonetheless cannot be faulted too much for failing to retain her seat. Meradong, which has 54 percent Chinese voters, is neither a DAP stronghold nor a traditional DAP profile area, i.e. usually characterized by an 80-90 percent urban Chinese population.
Going by the ‘Cina taksub giler’- DAP line graph above, Ms Ting – who won Meradong in 2011 at the relatively young age of 30 – did well by getting sokongan Cina tahap gaban.
Click to enlarge map
• Tanjong Batu — This seat now called N68 is carved out of Kidurong in the Bintulu district which last time had 52 percent Chinese voters. It’s now got 72 percent Chinese and was easily won DAP incumbent Chien Chiu Sing.
Interestingly however is another new Bintulu district seat called N70 Samalaju — see electoral map above.
Samalaju adjoins Tanjong Batu and has the following ethnic demography: Non Muslim pribumi 65%, Melanau Malay 20% and Chinese 15%. Samalaju was won yesterday by BN.
The 11 new seats in Sarawak are as follows and all were won by (jeng jeng jeng :)
- Batu Kitang — BN
- Stakan — BN
- Serembu — BN
- Bukit Semuja — BN
- Gedong — BN
- Kabong — BN
- Tellian — BN
- Bukit Goram — BN
- Murum — BN
- Samalaju — BN
- Mulu — BN
Okay, back to the old seats …
The secret of BN Sarawak’s success
DAP (and one PKR man) won in all the DUN seats with more than 60-90 percent Chinese voters, i.e. Padungan, Pelawan, Pending, Bukit Assek, Batu Lintang, Kota Sentosa, Tanjong Batu and Pujut.
The only seat with a substantial number of Chinese that the DAP failed to win is Repok.
Through their landslide victory, Team Adenan clawed back five seats with between 50 and 60 percent Chinese voters that were won by DAP in 2011. They are Batu Kawah, Meradong, Repok, Piasau and Dudong.
How did Adenan Satem succeed in containing the DAP currently to its mere seven Cina pekat seats, out of the 82 total DUN seats up for grabs?
Answer: He took the bold course of being a strongman leader willing to do the unpopular thing, which is to prevent the DAP evangelistta toxins from contaminating his state.
And the Adenan antidote worked.
Hallelujah! Miracles do happen when peninsula evangelista venom is expelled. Sarawak boleh!
Semenanjung tak berani manakala MCA memang dayus.
BELOW: Hannah Yeoh stopped at Kuching airport from entering Sarawak to spread her vitriol in the churches
The list below of Sarawak Chinese majority state seats is arranged in descending order of Chinese percentage of voters.
Number of votes indicated in brackets
Melanau Malay 4%, non Muslim pribumi 3%
- DAP — Wong King Wei* (9,332)
- SUPP — Peter Pau (5,062)
Voter turnout: 65.4%
Votes cast: 14,602
Melanau Malay 5%, non Muslim pribumi 4%
- DAP — Wong Kee Woan* (13,056)
- BN — Janet Lau Ung Hie (8,742)
Voter turnout: 70.0%
Votes cast: 22,395
Melanau Malay 5%, non Muslim pribumi 4%
- DAP — Violet Yong* (12,454)
SUPP — Milton Foo (7,442)
Voter turnout: 65.7%
Votes cast: 19896
Melanau Malay 4%, non Muslim pribumi 7%
- DAP* — Irene Mary Chang (11,392)
- SUPP — Chieng Buong Toon (6,895)
Voter turnout: 66.5%
Votes cast: 18,661
Melanau Malay 4%, non Muslim pribumi 10%
- PKR — See Chee How* (10,758)
- SUPP — Sih Hua Tong (6,373)
Voter turnout: 62.5%
Votes cast: 17,462
Melanau Malay 7%, non Muslim pribumi 19%
- SUPP — Huang Tiong Sii (7,446)
- DAP* — Yong Siew Wei (6,503)
Voter turnout: 71.4%
Votes cast: 14,339
Melanau Malay 13%, non Muslim pribumi 14%
- DAP — Chong Chieng Jen* (10,047)
- SUPP — Yap Yau Sin (7,228)
Voter turnout: 67.8%
Votes cast: 17,275
Melanau Malay 11%, non Muslim pribumi 17%
- DAP — Chiew Chiu Sing* (7,984)
- SUPP — Pau Chiong Ung (5,436)
Voter turnout: 69.2%
Votes cast: 13,509
Melanau Malay 19%, non Muslim pribumi 13%
- DAP* — Ting Tiong Choon (8,899)
- BN — Hii King Chiong (7,140)
Voter turnout: 65.1%
Votes cast: 16,927
Melanau Malay 19%, non Muslim pribumi 21%
- SUPP — Dr Sim Kui Hian (6,414)
- DAP* — Christina Chiew (4,329)
Voter turnout: 70.6%
Votes cast: 11,852
Melanau Malay 22%, non Muslim pribumi 19%
- SUPP — Sebastian Ting (7,799)
- DAP — Alan Ling* (5,687)
Voter turnout: 64.4%
Votes cast: 13,486
Melanau Malay 22%, non Muslim pribumi 19%
- SUPP — Lo Khere Chiang (6,466)
- DAP — Abdul Aziz Isa Marindo (4,626)
- PKR — Voon Shiak Ni (883)
Voter turnout: 69.9%
Votes cast: 12,090
Melanau Malay 3%, non Muslim pribumi 43%
- SUPP — Ding Kuong Hiing (6,856)
- DAP — Ting Tze Fui* (5,349)
Voter turnout: 73.3%
Votes cast: 12,214
Melanau Malay 8%, non Muslim pribumi 39%
- BN — Tiong Thai King (9,700)
- DAP — Yap Hoi Liong* (7,554)
Voter turnout: 72.8%
Votes cast: 20,922
Melanau Malay 6%, non Muslim pribumi 41%
- BN — Wong Soon Koh* (9,015)
- DAP — Chiew Sung Ngie (4,884)
Voter turnout: 80.6%
Votes cast: 14,631