DAP vs Umno clashes widening

DAP strategist Liew Chin Tong anticipates that for GE15, Umno will take over the following mixed seats previously contested by MCA.

These constituencies have roughly between 40 and 65 percent Malay voters. In brackets are the parties currently holding the seats and their elected MPs.

  1. Alor Setar (PKR) Chan Ming Kai
  2. Padang Serai (PKR) Karupaiya Mutusami
  3. Gopeng (PKR) Lee Boon Chye
  4. Tanjong Malim (PKR) Chang Lih Kang
  5. Raub (DAP) Tengku Zulpuri
  6. Kuantan (PKR) Fuziah Salleh
  7. Selayang (PKR) William Leong
  8. Ampang ex-(PKR) Zuraidah Kamaruddin
  9. Pandan (PKR) Wan Azizah
  10. Bangi (DAP) Ong Kian Ming
  11. Petaling Jaya (PKR) Maria Chin Abdullah
  12. Wangsa Maju (PKR) Tan Yee Kew
  13. Seremban (DAP) Anthony Loke
  14. Alor Gajah ex-(PKR) Redzuan Yusof
  15. Bakri (DAP) Yeo Bee Yin
  16. Kluang (DAP) Wong Shu Qi
  17. Tebrau (PKR) Choong Shaiu Yoon

The following mixed seats previously contested by Gerakan are also likely to be taken over by Umno in GE15, according to Chin Tong’s prediction. They have roughly between 35 and 60 percent Malay voters.

Gerakan deserted BN almost as soon as BN was toppled in GE14, and BN should not take this back this fickle party.

  1. Taiping (DAP) Teh Kok Lim
  2. Teluk Intan (DAP) Nga Kor Ming
  3. Puchong (DAP) Gobind Singh
  4. Batu (PKR) Prabakaran Parameswaran
  5. Simpang Renggam ex-(Pribumi) Maszlee Malik

In some of these seats, the votes garnered by MCA added with the votes garnered by PAS together in total exceeded the number of votes collected by the Harapan candidate. In other words, if there were a straight fight, the Muafakat man – hypothetically – would be able to beat the Harapan non Malay.

Of the 22 seats above, Harapan Malays are the MPs in Raub, Kuantan, Ampang, Pandan, Alor Gajah and Simpang Renggam. In the remaining 16 seats, the Harapan MPs are non Malays.

If Chin Tong’s forecast is accurate, GE15 will set up 16 new clashes between Malay vs non Malay candidates where previously the contest was MCA Chinese vs Harapan non Malay, or Gerakan Chinese vs Harapan non Malay.

Mahathir is DAP’s new BFF

Mahathir yesterday accused Najib of working hard to convince Malays that DAP would destroy their race. PM7 said this last night in Alor Setar at an event billed ‘Blackout Bersatu Dengan Dr Mahathir Mohamad’.

“Dia (Najib) menakutkan orang Melayu. Kononnya dalam kerajaan (Haparan) ada DAP. Kononnya, DAP akan hancurkan Melayu,” said Mahathir defending Guan Eng by heaping skepticism and sarcasm on Najib.

Since the DAP and their Beloved Tun are so into each other, the evangelical party must really invite him to be their honorary chairman. Mahathir within the DAP fold can help to plan their election strategy on how to fight Umno.


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11 thoughts on “DAP vs Umno clashes widening

  1. DAP already said they use Mahathir to screw Melayu.

    Mahathir is mad. Everything Najib. Najib, Najib, Najib.

    Probably would be his last word when he dies.

    1. Pribumi party is the legacy of a madman. It’s not needed any more.
      Muhyiddin needs to dissolve Pribumi and have them all absorbed into UMNO.


  3. Liew Chin Tong is using that argument to scare the Chinese into voting for them. I’m of the opinion that UMNO will work with MCA to secure those mixed seats. Note how UMNO calls out DAP as the enemy. They never call the Chinese out as their enemy.


    1. LCT said MCA contested 39 seats in the last election. He lists the 17 that Umno may take over. That still leaves 22 traditional MCA seats intact for the party — the ones where the MCA strongmen have defended, i.e. (successfully) Ayer Hitam, Tg Piai, (unsuccessfully) Bentong, Labis, etc.

      LCT also suggested that six of Gerakan’s seats, particularly the ones in Penang, would be passed on to MCA.

      However the behaviour of Hua Zong is mind-boggling. MCA’s two MPs do not represent the voice of the Chinese; the Malay majority will find it hard to believe that MCA speaks for the Chinese community. After all, the parliament seats held by MCA’s two Wee’s are both outright Malay majority.

      Chinese voters gave their 95 percent electoral muscle to the DAP who did not get the multiracial Harapan gomen to recognize UEC. But Hua Zong wants to ask the present 96 percent-Bumiputera gomen to grant what DAP failed to deliver to its Chinese base.

      1. The Chinese population is now divided into 2. We have evangelical Chinese Christians (I still hold out hope that Catholics are less partisan) and non-Chinese Christians. It is a waste of resources to try and win over the evangelical Christians. Their heads have been turned just as in Linda Blair’s head in The Exorcist. You can’t un-turn that! MCA can and should focus on persuading the non-Christian Chinese into turning away from DAP. This is their challenge but it’s possible. The only problem with MCA is that it isn’t a hard-nosed political party like DAP. DAP politicians are skilled in latching on to what’s relevant today (including virtue signallers, cancel culture, etc) whereas MCA is still stuck in the Chinese Education fight.


        1. MCA may have a better chance with Daoist, Buddhist and Confucianist Chinese than with Christian Chinese who actually are a small minority.

          I really do not know what the political sentiments of the non-Christian Chinese, especially small business, small trader, small contractor, farmer and working class Chinese are, though I would expect that the UEC issue would be a significant factor in how they vote.

          For instance, I believe the Tg. Piai MCA victory was fueled by Chinese anger with PH over its failure to recognise the UEC and LGE’s cutback of funds to TAR University College, whilst the Malays were angry with PH over its attempt to ratify ICERD and that other UN convention.

          However, these issues are contradictory for Chinese and Malay voters, in that it would upset the Malays if the PH government had recognised the UEC for local public university entrance and Chinese voters would have been delighted if the PH government had ratified ICERD and signed that other UN convention.

          Also, I was told that many wet market traders were upset with the PH government over rising prices and slow business, whilst an unemployed Chinese with an engineering degree said that employment opportunities were better under the former BN government and also mentioned that many businesses had closed. Also, even last year before the MCOs were implemented, I could see fewer customers in mamak, banana leaf and Chinese restaurants, and one Chinese restaurant in SS3 Petaling Jaya which I and my friend use to frequent closed down last year, and that was under the PH government.

          On the other hand, many small businesses have closed shop, especially due to the MCO under the PN government. Many in my area are Chinese owned and I don’t know how this will impact the voting sentiment of these strata of Chinese – i.e. whether they will be more favourable towards MCA/PN or DAP/PH.

          As for Christians, all the Christians I know, whether Chinese, Indian or Eurasian are pro-PH and anti-PH, though all of them are urban, English-educated, middle-class people.

          So there are several factors at play over here, including economic factors, which will impact voter sentiment and I really don’t know or cannot tell what way it will swing the vote.

          We cannot go by the way the current 222 MPs in in parliament vote, which is why I favour an early GE15 to elect a fresh set of 222 MPs.

  4. * Correction:-

    “As for Christians, all the Christians I know, whether Chinese, Indian or Eurasian are pro-PH and anti-PN, though all of them are urban, English-educated, middle-class people.”

    I.E. – “pro-PH and anti-PN” NOT “pro-PH and anti-PH” as in my coment above.

  5. i dun really see there is diff among buddhist chinese or christian chinese wrt umno n dog, perhaps some rural chinese still preserve a good working relation n connection with mca for certain traditional event, however i believe most chinese today hv the financial freedom not to stick to or depending on any political party to continue our life, especially education n employment, the only reason chinese still give our vote to mca is when we find out dap is equally dog. i dun see the point to hv a chinese party in the govt, my thinking is that malay party need the chinese (not politician) more in order to rule effectively, unless msia is as affluence as in the past.

    btw, even though i love rohingya, i dun think its a interesting topic to many.

  6. MCA has to work on securing the Malay votes. If they can win over the majority of Malays in mixed seats and 30% of the Chinese votes, their chances of overcoming the odds will be bright.

    DAP understands the game at play. They know they will continue to win most of the Chinese votes but they can’t be sure of the Malay votes because of trust issues.

    In GE14, DAP worked really hard to win over the Malays and they did a very good job of it too. Wearing a tudung, visiting mosques, coming out with lovey-dovey soundbites, it made in-roads into the Malay mindset. But in the immediate celebration of glory, they stopped their role-playing. Their true colours emerged. IMO winning GE14 worked against them. While there was distrust, Malays nonetheless give them the benefit of the doubt.

    Fast forward to the present, DAP is trying really hard to win back the lost trust. Let’s ignore the Bangsar Malays. They are a different breed and will continue to support DAP. It is the other Malays that DAP is working on winning over.

    How is DAP going about it? They are playing dog-whistle politics. They deliberately highlight and manipulate issues that affect the Chinese baiting MCA to respond, knowing that depending on the response, (supportive or non- supportive), DAP will come out with a spin that will make itself look good to either Chinese or Malays.

    MCA is caught in a double-bind. A response supporting the Chinese will make them lose Malay support and vice-versa. MCA has to decide: does it want the Chinese to support them (slim, no matter what) or the Malays (higher possibility)? Does it want to win or do they want to stick to their principles and lose?

    We know that DAP will choose to win as we’ve already seen how they grovel at the feet of M.


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