Does Chinese deserve to be Sarawak DCM? Statistical answer
PBB boss Adenan Satem has appointed three Deputy Chief Ministers for Sarawak.
- Abang Johari Tun Openg (PBB deputy president)
- Douglas Unggah Embas (PBB senior vice president)
- James Masing (PRS president)
Note: Douglas and James are Christians.
PBB made clean sweep of its 40 seats
Sarawak BN won 72 seats in the 82-seat assembly in the recent 11th state election.
BN component parties breakdown of the 72:
• PBB put up 40 candidates, won 40 (success rate: 100%)
• PRS put up 11 candidates, won 11 (success rate: 100%)
• SUPP put up 13 candidates, won 7 (success rate: 54%)
• SPDP put up 5 candidates, won 3 (success rate: 60%)
- BN put up 13 direct candidates:
- 7 former UPP candidates, 5 won (success rate: 71%)
- 5 former Teras candidates, 3 won (success rate: 60%)
- 3 candidates in new seats, 3 won (success rate: 100%)
(a) Of the UPP’s seven candidates, four are Chinese in Bawang Assan, Dudong, Pelawan, Pujut while three are pribumi in Mambong, Engkilili, Opar.
(b) Teras’s William Mawan Ikom won Pakan, Rosey Yunus (Bekenu) and Paulus Palu Gumbang (Batu Danau)
(c) Miro Simuh won Serembu, John Ilus (Bukit Semuja) and Gerawat Gala (Mulu)
Chinese were represented in SUPP and by former members of UPP. Thus, if a Chinese YB had been up for consideration as Deputy Chief Minister, he ought rightly to have been from SUPP.
Charles Santiago (@mpklang) May 13, 2016
Small Chinese swing vs largely hostile Chinese sentiments
So therefore let’s evaluate the SUPP performance in Sarawak’s May 7 election.
Aside from Francis Harden Hollis, the rest of the SUPP candidates are Chinese. And from this round dozen SUPP Chinese, half of them lost their bid for a seat.
The six SUPP losses are in two maximum Chinese urban areas having 92.8% and 90.0% Chinese voters respectively, two heavily Chinese areas (89.8% and 85.9%) and two significantly Chinese-dominant areas (73.7% and 73.5%). See details in the list footnoted at the bottom of page.
Half a dozen seats with above 70 percent Chinese electorate emphatically rejected the BN albeit this time the opposition did not receive such overwhelming support as they did in 2011.
SUPP won in one mainly Chinese, and four Chinese-majority mixed seats
In the half dozen seats that are won by SUPP, the electorate is between 35 and 62 percent Chinese. The following SUPP seats – Batu Kitang (54.8% Chinese voters), Meradong (55.0%) and Senadin (49.7%) – are essentially mixed seats.
A sole exception is Repok where the SUPP man won in a constituency with three-quarter Chinese voters. Meanwhile SUPP’s sole non-Chinese winner Francis Harden anak Hollis snagged rural Simanggang which has 35.5 percent Chinese voters against a Dayak majority.
SUPP president Dr Sim Kui Hian won Batu Kawah which has 62.3 percent Chinese voters. His victory is a high watermark considering how giler taksub the Chinese are terhadap DAP.
Although there was undeniably a Chinese swingback – calculated at 9.6 percent by Dah Ikhwan – Team Adenan’s landslide win was driven largely by the Dayaks (and other pribumi) and the Melayu-Melanau.
The reason is understandable — the natives were quite simply freaked out by the biaDAP horde who swamped their land like a plague of locusts.
‘Sarawakians voted against the politics of hate and insults‘ (The Ant Daily, 13 May 2016)
BELOW: Sarawak is the biggest Parliamentary bloc in the Dewan Rakyat as well as the BN anchor, surpassing Umno stronghold Johor
Malays are not that reliable anymore as BN voter base
From the table above, it is correct to infer that Sabah and Sarawak are the BN fixed deposit.
And from the outcome of the Sarawak election, it is reaffirmed that the Borneo natives are the BN’s most secure and trusted voter base. Even more so than the fragmented Malays who support PAS, PKR, PAN and Protun as well as those who makan dedak DAP.
Read, ‘RBA Melayu‘
In BN, the No.1 and No.2 federal posts, i.e. PM and DPM, go to Umno. Sarawak has followed the same formula with PBB taking the CM and one of the DCM posts.
The remaining two Sarawak DCM posts were awarded to Dayak Christians and hence sidelining the Chinese.
What did Adenan really promise the Chinese?
There were certainly expectations of a Chinese DCM after SUPP managed to claw back from DAP the seats Batu Kawah, Meradong, Repok and Piasau.
Adenan had earlier mentioned the possibility of a Chinese deputy should the community grant a strong mandate to the BN. It would have been a morale booster and symbolic olive leaf if the SUPP president were made DCM.
But the wish did not pan out.
We can only guess that Adenan does not consider the Chinese support returning to BN to be adequate and deserving of the recognition. Or probably he’s equally freaked out by the pathological support that the community persists in showering on the DAP.
Whatever it may be, Adenan’s omission has provided the DAP with another ammo against the BN. Unsurprisingly, the DAP has already begun its clamour that the Chinese have been cheated by BN Sarawak.
This decision by Adenan to not reward Sarawak Chinese voters rings a death knell for any hope, however faint, of some degree of peninsular Chinese support returning to the BN in GE14.
Read HERE how a particular egotistic Protun liar keeps getting his predictions laughably wrong — saying BN can win back the Chinese like in Sarawak. That’s what happens when a big-headed blogger gazes at his navel instead of at hard data.
Seat: Batu Kitang
Seat: Batu Kawah
Seat: Batu Lintang
Seat: Kota Sentosa
Seat: Bukit Assek
Seat: Tanjong Batu